DBS Stock Pulse: Asia Telecom & Data Centre - Data centre & cloud growth to complement telco yields
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Group Research - Equities15 Apr 2025
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Trending Sector

Asia Telecom & Data Centre

Data centre & cloud growth to complement telco yields

 

  • Mobile revenue to see some growth in Indonesia & Thailand led by focus on ARPU improvement
  • Data centre (DC) & cloud to deliver 10-25% annual revenue growth over next few years; China Unicom, China Telecom, and Indosat leading
  • Prefer Indosat & China Unicom for >6% yield, >9% earnings growth; PT Telkom is also attractive for >8% yield amid a mobile sector recovery; Netlink is most defensive business with >6% yield; favour Singtel to StarHub for superior growth
  • Prefer telcos to pure DC players for their dividend yields. Among pure DC players, we prefer VNET over GDS for pure China exposure, lower gearing & cheaper valuation

 

Regional Energy

US Tariff Pause: How far will oil prices recover?  

 

  • Oil prices fell below USD60/bbl before recovering some ground on the back of the tariff pause
  • Sentiment is better but demand concerns abound
  • Unexpected OPEC+ supply response adding to the muddle
  • We lower our oil price forecasts by USD5/bbl in base case scenario

 

Singapore Hotels

New MICE convention centre in Orchard?

 

  • Singapore eyes a new MICE hub downtown: Orchard HPL redevelopment site a strong venue contender in our view
  • STB targets a tripling of MICE tourist receipts to 10% by 2040 through promotion of B-leisure to short-stay business travellers – a segment contributing to c.37% of inbound market (avg. length of stay of 1 night or less)
  • Older hotels near HPL site, inc Orchard Hotel (under CDLHT) and Orchard Rendezvous Hotel (FEHT), could join bandwagon of transformation and rejuvenation under SDI scheme
  • Tactical entry into hotels to emerge with 1Q reporting, as results could phase off high-base effect from Taylor Swift concert in 1Q24; Lady Gaga concert in May 25 a stabiliser for hotel occupancy
  • S-REIT hotels trade at 6.7% forward yields; CLAS, CDLHT, and FEHT offer compelling yields of c.7% or higher

 

Stocks to Watch

Grand Venture

Skirting some tariff headwinds

  • Management has reaffirmed 1H25 revenue guidance of 32-41% y-o-y growth, supported by <10% US exposure
  • The stock has dropped 20% since liberation day; we estimate 4-8% earnings impact from potential tariffs (assumed 25%) on semiconductor-related exports
  • Valuations remain attractive at 14x FY25F and 11x FY26F earnings, we currently have a BUY call with TP SGD1.12

 

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Note: All views expressed are current as at the stated date of publication.

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