Asset Allocation 2Q25 – The Age of Disruption
Despite our near-term cautious view on the US, we continue to stay positive on US tech given secular growth tailwinds; seek opportunities in Europe equities and safe haven assets
Chief Investment Office1 Apr 2025
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2025 couldn’t have started off in a more dramatic fashion with President Trump wasting no time in unleashing his policy agenda. From startling remarks on taking over Gaza and turning it into the “Riviera of the Middle East” to the announcements of tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada, Trump is acting on his campaign promises at warp speed. Across the Atlantic, the long-standing foundation of the US-Europe relationship received a severe jolt as European leaders came to the cold realisation that the western alliance is now in severe meltdown.

  • “US exceptionalism” facing strong headwinds amid policy uncertainties and revival of growth fears
  • Resurgent Europe signals the rise of policy stimulus in the region
  • Downgrade US equities to 3-month underweight; Maintain conviction view on US technology and healthcare
  • Upgrade Europe equities to 3-month overweight; Seek opportunities in industrials and financials
  • Tariff fears triggering safe haven flows; Maintain overweight on bonds and alternatives


Figure 1: Downshift in UST yield led by real yields as opposed to inflation expectations


Source: Bloomberg, DBS

 

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